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Old 02-22-2017, 06:37 AM   #201 (permalink)
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I'm going to split up my score card into who I think will win vs who I think SHOULD win.

Who I think will win is going to be bolded and who I think SHOULD win will be in Italics.

Spoiler for Long List:

Best Picture

Arrival
Fences
Hacksaw Ridge
Hell or High Water
Hidden Figures
La La Land
Lion
Manchester by the Sea
Moonlight


Best Director

Denis Villeneuve – Arrival
Mel Gibson – Hacksaw Ridge
Damien Chazelle – La La Land
Kenneth Lonergan – Manchester by the Sea
Barry Jenkins – Moonlight


Best Actor

Casey Affleck – Manchester by the Sea as Lee Chandler
Andrew Garfield – Hacksaw Ridge as Desmond T. Doss
Ryan Gosling – La La Land as Sebastian Wilder
Viggo Mortensen – Captain Fantastic as Ben Cash
Denzel Washington – Fences as Troy Maxson


Best Actress

Isabelle Huppert – Elle as Michèle LeBlanc
Ruth Negga – Loving as Mildred Loving
Natalie Portman – Jackie as Jackie Kennedy
Emma Stone – La La Land as Mia Dolan
Meryl Streep – Florence Foster Jenkins as Florence Foster Jenkins


Best Supporting Actor

Mahershala Ali – Moonlight as Juan
Jeff Bridges – Hell or High Water as Marcus Hamilton
Lucas Hedges – Manchester by the Sea as Patrick Chandler
Dev Patel – Lion as Saroo Brierley
Michael Shannon – Nocturnal Animals as Detective Bobby Andes


Best Supporting Actress

Viola Davis – Fences as Rose Maxson
Naomie Harris – Moonlight as Paula
Nicole Kidman – Lion as Sue Brierley
Octavia Spencer – Hidden Figures as Dorothy Vaughan
Michelle Williams – Manchester by the Sea as Randi


Best Original Screenplay

Hell or High Water – Taylor Sheridan
La La Land – Damien Chazelle
The Lobster – Yorgos Lanthimos and Efthimis Filippou
Manchester by the Sea – Kenneth Lonergan
20th Century Women – Mike Mills


Best Adapted Screenplay

Arrival – Eric Heisserer from "Story of Your Life" by Ted Chiang
Fences – August Wilson from Fences by August Wilson (posthumous nomination)
Hidden Figures – Allison Schroeder and Theodore Melfi from Hidden Figures by Margot Lee Shetterly
Lion – Luke Davies from A Long Way Home by Saroo Brierley and Larry Buttrose
Moonlight – Barry Jenkins and Tarell Alvin McCraney from In Moonlight Black Boys Look Blue by Tarell Alvin McCraney


Best Animated Feature Film

Kubo and the Two Strings – Travis Knight and Arianne Sutner
Moana – John Musker, Ron Clements, and Osnat Shurer
My Life as a Courgette – Claude Barras and Max Karli
The Red Turtle – Michael Dudok de Wit and Toshio Suzuki
Zootopia – Byron Howard, Rich Moore, and Clark Spencer


Best Foreign Language Film

Land of Mine (Denmark) in Danish – Martin Zandvliet
A Man Called Ove (Sweden) in Swedish – Hannes Holm
The Salesman (Iran) in Persian – Asghar Farhadi
Tanna (Australia) in Nauvhal – Martin Butler and Bentley Dean
Toni Erdmann (Germany) in German – Maren Ade


Best Documentary – Feature

Fire at Sea – Gianfranco Rosi and Donatella Palermo
I Am Not Your Negro – Raoul Peck, Rémi Grellety, and Hébert Peck
Life, Animated – Roger Ross Williams and Julie Goldman
O.J.: Made in America – Ezra Edelman and Caroline Waterlow
13th – Ava DuVernay, Spencer Averick, and Howard Barish

Best Documentary – Short Subject

Extremis – Dan Krauss
4.1 Miles – Daphne Matziaraki
Joe's Violin – Kahane Cooperman and Raphaela Neihausen
Watani: My Homeland – Marcel Mettelsiefen and Stephen Ellis
The White Helmets – Orlando von Einsiedel and Joanna Natasegara


Best Live Action Short Film

Ennemis intérieurs – Sélim Azzazi
La femme et le TGV – Timo von Gunten and Giacun Caduff
Silent Nights – Aske Bang and Kim Magnusson
Sing – Kristóf Deák and Anna Udvardy
Timecode – Juanjo Giménez


Best Animated Short Film

Blind Vaysha – Theodore Ushev
Borrowed Time – Andrew Coats and Lou Hamou-Lhadj
Pear Cider and Cigarettes – Robert Valley and Cara Speller
Pearl – Patrick Osborne
Piper – Alan Barillaro and Marc Sondheimer


Best Original Score

Jackie – Mica Levi
La La Land – Justin Hurwitz
Lion – Dustin O'Halloran and Hauschka
Moonlight – Nicholas Britell
Passengers – Thomas Newman


Best Original Song

"Audition (The Fools Who Dream)" from La La Land – Music by Justin Hurwitz, Lyric by Benj Pasek and Justin Paul
"Can't Stop the Feeling!" from Trolls – Music and Lyric by Justin Timberlake, Max Martin, and Karl Johan Schuster (Shellback)
"City of Stars" from La La Land – Music by Justin Hurwitz, Lyric by Benj Pasek and Justin Paul
"The Empty Chair" from Jim: The James Foley Story – Music and Lyric by J. Ralph and Sting
"How Far I'll Go" from Moana – Music and Lyric by Lin-Manuel Miranda


Best Sound Editing

Arrival – Sylvain Bellemare
Deepwater Horizon – Wylie Stateman and Renée Tondelli
Hacksaw Ridge – Robert Mackenzie and Andy Wright
La La Land – Ai-Ling Lee and Mildred Iatrou Morgan
Sully – Alan Robert Murray and Bub Asman


Best Sound Mixing

Arrival – Bernard Gariépy Strobl and Claude La Haye
Hacksaw Ridge – Kevin O'Connell, Andy Wright, Robert Mackenzie, and Peter Grace
La La Land – Andy Nelson, Ai-Ling Lee, and Steve A. Morrow
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story – David Parker, Christopher Scarabosio, and Stuart Wilson
13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi – Greg P. Russell, Gary Summers, Jeffrey J. Haboush, and Mac Ruth


Best Production Design

Arrival – Patrice Vermette and Paul Hotte
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them – Stuart Craig and Anna Pinnock
Hail, Caesar! – Jess Gonchor and Nancy Haigh
La La Land – David and Sandy Reynolds-Wasco
Passengers – Guy Hendrix Dyas and Gene Serdena


Best Cinematography

Arrival – Bradford Young
La La Land – Linus Sandgren
Lion – Greig Fraser
Moonlight – James Laxton
Silence – Rodrigo Prieto


Best Makeup and Hairstyling

A Man Called Ove – Eva von Bahr and Love Larson
Star Trek Beyond – Joel Harlow and Richard Alonzo
Suicide Squad – Alessandro Bertolazzi, Giorgio Gregorini, and Christopher Nelson


Best Costume Design

Allied – Joanna Johnston
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them – Colleen Atwood
Florence Foster Jenkins – Consolata Boyle
Jackie – Madeline Fontaine
La La Land – Mary Zophres


Best Film Editing

Arrival – Joe Walker
Hacksaw Ridge – John Gilbert
Hell or High Water – Jake Roberts
La La Land – Tom Cross
Moonlight – Nat Sanders and Joi McMillon


Best Visual Effects

Deepwater Horizon – Craig Hammeck, Jason Snell, Jason Billington, and Burt Dalton
Doctor Strange – Stephane Ceretti, Richard Bluff, Vincent Cirelli, and Paul Corbould
The Jungle Book – Robert Legato, Adam Valdez, Andrew R. Jones, and Dan Lemmon
Kubo and the Two Strings – Steve Emerson, Oliver Jones, Brian McLean, and Brad Schiff
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story – John Knoll, Mohen Leo, Hal Hickel, and Neil Corbould
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Old 02-22-2017, 10:10 AM   #202 (permalink)
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i respectfully disagree with some of your choices. specifically with best actress, best supporting actor, and (depending on my mood) best song
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Old 02-22-2017, 05:17 PM   #203 (permalink)
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I'm having a hard time understanding the Mahershala Ali hype for Best Supporting Actor. I watched Moonlight last night and while it was certainly a beautifully made movie I wasn't even close to awestruck by the end credits. I was actually more impressed by both Dev Patel's performance in Lion and Michael Shannon's performance in Nocturnal Animals. Mahershala Ali's role seemed quite small in comparison and there were no particular scenes that made a lasting impression on me or felt like an "Oscar winning" moment. I feel like Dev Patel especially demonstrated a wider range of emotion.
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Old 02-23-2017, 02:36 PM   #204 (permalink)
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I'm having a hard time understanding the Mahershala Ali hype for Best Supporting Actor. I watched Moonlight last night and while it was certainly a beautifully made movie I wasn't even close to awestruck by the end credits. I was actually more impressed by both Dev Patel's performance in Lion and Michael Shannon's performance in Nocturnal Animals. Mahershala Ali's role seemed quite small in comparison and there were no particular scenes that made a lasting impression on me or felt like an "Oscar winning" moment. I feel like Dev Patel especially demonstrated a wider range of emotion.
It's a subtle role in every aspect of the word. The academy does seem to like these kinds of roles. Mark Rylance won last year in this fashion. For me, I thought Ali was able to convey serious emotion through very subtle facial expressions and body language. That last scene at the dinner table stayed with me throughout the whole film. The swimming scene was also just cathartic in my eyes. I certainly wanted more after the film ended but I thought what we got was enough to win the award which is what I'm going to guess is going to happen. I wouldn't be outraged if Hedges or Shannon won. They were fantastic too. Haven't seen Lion. Bridges was...well, Bridges.
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Old 02-26-2017, 04:43 PM   #205 (permalink)
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i actually think Manchester by the Sea is going to take best Original Screenplay.
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Old 02-26-2017, 06:23 PM   #206 (permalink)
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I'm hedging my bets on Mahershala Ali based off of his Golden Globes win.
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Fame, fortune, power, titties. People say these are the most crucial things in life, but you can have a pocket full o' gold and it doesn't mean sh*t if you don't have someone to share that gold with. Seems simple. Yet it's an important lesson to learn. Even lone wolves run in packs sometimes.


Quote:
Originally Posted by RoxyRollah View Post
IMO I don't know jack-**** though so don't listen to me.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Franco Pepe Kalle View Post
The problem is that most police officers in America are psychopaths.
Quote:
Originally Posted by The Batlord View Post
You're a terrible dictionary.
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Old 02-26-2017, 11:37 PM   #207 (permalink)
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What the ****.!?
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Old 02-26-2017, 11:52 PM   #208 (permalink)
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What the ****.!?
They handed Beatty a duplicate of the Emma Stone best actress win envelope for La La Land instead the actual best picture envelope. That's why he looked at it a number of times
and kept pausing, finally Faye just saw La La Land and announced it. You could see immediately people with headsets on stage running around. Major F-up on the Oscar's
part but I thought the La La Land folks handled it 100% classy and gracefully. As did the Moonlight folks obviously thrust into an extremely uncomfortable situation.

Surreal stuff though.
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Old 02-26-2017, 11:56 PM   #209 (permalink)
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What the ****!?
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Old 02-26-2017, 11:57 PM   #210 (permalink)
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What the ****!?
Well, ya. Whoever was running things backstage won't be working in Hollywood again any time soon.

The Damon vs. Kimmel running gag all night was ****ing hilarious though.
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