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Old 01-26-2014, 03:17 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Default Oscars 2014

I thought it would be fun to make a Oscar predictions thread. So calling all cinephiles. Bob, jackhammer, Exo and anyone else that wants to join in.

Let's see who you think will take home Oscars.

You can just copy/paste the list and bold the winners.

Also since it is like a little over a month away we can also have discussions about why we think certain films are going to win certain categories.

It will be cool to see how many we get right.

Best picture

"12 Years a Slave"

"American Hustle"

"Captain Phillips"

"Dallas Buyers Club"

"Gravity"

"Her"

"Nebraska"

"Philomena"

"The Wolf of Wall Street"

Director

Alfonso Cuarón, "Gravity"

Steve McQueen, "12 Years a Slave"

Alexander Payne, "Nebraska"

David O. Russell, "American Hustle"

Martin Scorsese, "The Wolf of Wall Street"

Lead actor

Christian Bale, "American Hustle"

Bruce Dern, "Nebraska"

Chiwetel Ejiofor, "12 Years a Slave"

Matthew McConaughey, "Dallas Buyers Club"

Leonardo DiCaprio, "The Wolf of Wall Street"

Lead actress

Amy Adams, "American Hustle"

Cate Blanchett, "Blue Jasmine"

Judi Dench, "Philomena"

Meryl Streep, "August: Osage County"

Sandra Bullock, "Gravity"

Supporting actor

Barkhad Abdi, “Captain Phillips”

Bradley Cooper, “American Hustle”

Michael Fassbender, “12 Years a Slave”

Jonah Hill, “The Wolf of Wall Street”

Jared Leto, “Dallas Buyers Club”

Supporting actress

Sally Hawkins, “Blue Jasmine”

Jennifer Lawrence, “American Hustle”

Lupita Nyong’o, “12 Years a Slave”

Julia Roberts, “August: Osage County”

June Squibb, “Nebraska”

Animated feature film

“The Croods”

“Despicable Me 2”

“Ernest & Celestine”

“Frozen”

“The Wind Rises”

Cinematography

“The Grandmaster,” Philippe Le Sourd

“Gravity,” Emmanuel Lubezki

“Inside Llewyn Davis,” Bruno Delbonnel

“Nebraska,” Phedon Papamichael

“Prisoners,” Roger A. Deakins

Costume design

“American Hustle,” Michael Wilkinson

“The Grandmaster,” William Chang Suk Ping

“The Great Gatsby,” Catherine Martin

“The Invisible Woman,” Michael O’Connor

“12 Years a Slave,” Patricia Norris

Documentary feature
“The Act of Killing”

“Cutie and the Boxer”

“Dirty Wars”

“The Square”

“20 Feet from Stardom”

Documentary short subject

“CaveDigger”

“Facing Fear”

“Karama Has No Walls”

“The Lady in Number 6: Music Saved My Life”

“Prison Terminal: The Last Days of Private Jack Hall”

Film editing

“American Hustle,” Jay Cassidy, Crispin Struthers and Alan Baumgarten

“Captain Phillips,” Christopher Rouse

“Dallas Buyers Club,” John Mac McMurphy and Martin Pensa

“Gravity,” Alfonso Cuarón and Mark Sanger

“12 Years a Slave,” Joe Walker


Foreign language film

“The Broken Circle Breakdown,” Belgium

“The Great Beauty,” Italy

“The Hunt,” Denmark

“The Missing Picture,” Cambodia

“Omar,” Palestine

Makeup and hairstyling

“Dallas Buyers Club,” Adruitha Lee and Robin Mathews

“Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa,” Stephen Prouty

“The Lone Ranger,” Joel Harlow and Gloria Pasqua-Casny

Original score

“The Book Thief,” John Williams

“Gravity,” Steven Price

“Her,” William Butler and Owen Pallett

“Philomena,” Alexandre Desplat

“Saving Mr. Banks,” Thomas Newman

Original song

“Alone Yet Not Alone” from “Alone Yet Not Alone”

“Happy” from “Despicable Me 2”

“Let It Go” from “Frozen”

“The Moon Song” from “Her”

“Ordinary Love” from “Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom”

Production design

“American Hustle,” Production Design: Judy Becker; Set Decoration: Heather Loeffler

“Gravity,” Production Design: Andy Nicholson; Set Decoration: Rosie Goodwin and Joanne Woollard

“The Great Gatsby,” Production Design: Catherine Martin; Set Decoration: Beverley Dunn

“Her,” Production Design: K.K. Barrett; Set Decoration: Gene Serdena

“12 Years a Slave,” Production Design: Adam Stockhausen; Set Decoration: Alice Baker


Animated short film

“Feral”

“Get a Horse!”

“Mr. Hublot”

“Possessions”

“Room on the Broom”

Live action short film

“Aquel No Era Yo (That Wasn’t Me)”

“Avant Que De Tout Perdre (Just before Losing Everything)”

“Helium”

“Pitääkö Mun Kaikki Hoitaa? (Do I Have to Take Care of Everything?)”

“The Voorman Problem”

Sound editing

“All Is Lost,” Steve Boeddeker and Richard Hymns

“Captain Phillips,” Oliver Tarney

“Gravity,” Glenn Freemantle

“The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug,” Brent Burge

“Lone Survivor,” Wylie Stateman

Sound mixing

“Captain Phillips,” Chris Burdon, Mark Taylor, Mike Prestwood Smith and Chris Munro

“Gravity,” Skip Lievsay, Niv Adiri, Christopher Benstead and Chris Munro

“The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug,” Christopher Boyes, Michael Hedges, Michael Semanick and Tony Johnson

“Inside Llewyn Davis,” Skip Lievsay, Greg Orloff and Peter F. Kurland

“Lone Survivor,” Andy Koyama, Beau Borders and David Brownlow



Visual effects

“Gravity,” Tim Webber, Chris Lawrence, Dave Shirk and Neil Corbould

“The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug,” Joe Letteri, Eric Saindon, David Clayton and Eric Reynolds

“Iron Man 3,” Christopher Townsend, Guy Williams, Erik Nash and Dan Sudick

“The Lone Ranger,” Tim Alexander, Gary Brozenich, Edson Williams and John Frazier

“Star Trek Into Darkness,” Roger Guyett, Patrick Tubach, Ben Grossmann and Burt Dalton

Adapted screenplay

“Before Midnight,” written by Richard Linklater, Julie Delpy, Ethan Hawke

“Captain Phillips,” screenplay by Billy Ray

“Philomena,” screenplay by Steve Coogan and Jeff Pope

“12 Years a Slave,” screenplay by John Ridley

“The Wolf of Wall Street,” screenplay by Terence Winter

Original screenplay

“American Hustle,” written by Eric Warren Singer and David O. Russell

“Blue Jasmine,” written by Woody Allen

“Dallas Buyers Club,” written by Craig Borten & Melisa Wallack

“Her,” written by Spike Jonze

“Nebraska,” written by Bob Nelson

I just guessed for the documentaries because I haven't seen them yet. I will attempt to hunt them down and I may change my vote laters.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RoxyRollah View Post
IMO I don't know jack-**** though so don't listen to me.
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The problem is that most police officers in America are psychopaths.
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Old 01-26-2014, 03:19 PM   #2 (permalink)
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I ****ing hated Gravity. I wanted to take a dump because that was more interesting. If it wins an Oscar it means that all you need to win one is by floating in your underwear.
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Old 01-26-2014, 03:26 PM   #3 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Vanilla View Post
I ****ing hated Gravity. I wanted to take a dump because that was more interesting. If it wins an Oscar it means that all you need to win one is by floating in your underwear.
I didn't like Gravity either but I recognized the incredible work/talent of the director to pull some of those crazy shots and make it look like they were really in space.

He has to win for best director and it should get an Oscar for Cinematography as well.

Nebraska is a close runner up for Cinematography imo.
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Fame, fortune, power, titties. People say these are the most crucial things in life, but you can have a pocket full o' gold and it doesn't mean sh*t if you don't have someone to share that gold with. Seems simple. Yet it's an important lesson to learn. Even lone wolves run in packs sometimes.


Quote:
Originally Posted by RoxyRollah View Post
IMO I don't know jack-**** though so don't listen to me.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Franco Pepe Kalle View Post
The problem is that most police officers in America are psychopaths.
Quote:
Originally Posted by The Batlord View Post
You're a terrible dictionary.
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Old 01-26-2014, 03:41 PM   #4 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Vanilla View Post
I ****ing hated Gravity. I wanted to take a dump because that was more interesting. If it wins an Oscar it means that all you need to win one is by floating in your underwear.
If it wins an Oscar it means that the Academy recognizes the work of a director who had to wait six years before the technology was invented to carry out the film. And even with that technology the film still maintained a unique look brought on by a visionary special effects team. It wasn't like Avatar where you had action scenes that was made gorgeous by pretty scenery. Shots went in and out of helmets without cutting. The opening sequence leading up to the mayhem was an unbroken 16 minute long take which included set up, purpose on why the astronauts were there, and intense action.

The story may have been weak but it is by FAR the most technically advanced film ever made and a one of a kind film. But yeah, Sandra was in her underwear once so it should fail.
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Old 01-26-2014, 03:47 PM   #5 (permalink)
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If Gravity beats American Hustle (which lets be honest, it won't) I'll be pretty happy. I mean a 2 person sci-fi/thriller movie from a Latino director with a 49 year old lead female... yeah I'm not seeing it.

The only predictions I feel comfortable making is that Martin Scorsese will be snubbed for as will Lupita Nyong’o.
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Old 01-26-2014, 03:50 PM   #6 (permalink)
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Marty isn't even near the top 2 for best director.

It is either going to Steve Mcqueen or Alfonso Cuarón.

I don't feel Marty deserves an Oscar for Wolf of Wall Street honestly.
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Fame, fortune, power, titties. People say these are the most crucial things in life, but you can have a pocket full o' gold and it doesn't mean sh*t if you don't have someone to share that gold with. Seems simple. Yet it's an important lesson to learn. Even lone wolves run in packs sometimes.


Quote:
Originally Posted by RoxyRollah View Post
IMO I don't know jack-**** though so don't listen to me.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Franco Pepe Kalle View Post
The problem is that most police officers in America are psychopaths.
Quote:
Originally Posted by The Batlord View Post
You're a terrible dictionary.
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Old 01-26-2014, 04:40 PM   #7 (permalink)
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ok sop we're going on who we think will win not who we want to win right?
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Old 01-26-2014, 05:42 PM   #8 (permalink)
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Yeah I voted who I think will win not who I want to win.

Maybe in Italics you can choose who you really wanted to win.
__________________
Fame, fortune, power, titties. People say these are the most crucial things in life, but you can have a pocket full o' gold and it doesn't mean sh*t if you don't have someone to share that gold with. Seems simple. Yet it's an important lesson to learn. Even lone wolves run in packs sometimes.


Quote:
Originally Posted by RoxyRollah View Post
IMO I don't know jack-**** though so don't listen to me.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Franco Pepe Kalle View Post
The problem is that most police officers in America are psychopaths.
Quote:
Originally Posted by The Batlord View Post
You're a terrible dictionary.
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Old 01-26-2014, 06:02 PM   #9 (permalink)
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Best picture

"12 Years a Slave"

"American Hustle"

"Captain Phillips"

"Dallas Buyers Club"

"Gravity"

"Her"

"Nebraska"

"Philomena"

"The Wolf of Wall Street"

Director

Alfonso Cuarón, "Gravity"

Steve McQueen, "12 Years a Slave"

Alexander Payne, "Nebraska"

David O. Russell, "American Hustle"

Martin Scorsese, "The Wolf of Wall Street"

Lead actor

Christian Bale, "American Hustle"

Bruce Dern, "Nebraska"

Chiwetel Ejiofor, "12 Years a Slave"

Matthew McConaughey, "Dallas Buyers Club"

Leonardo DiCaprio, "The Wolf of Wall Street"

Lead actress

Amy Adams, "American Hustle"

Cate Blanchett, "Blue Jasmine"

Judi Dench, "Philomena"

Meryl Streep, "August: Osage County"

Sandra Bullock, "Gravity"

Supporting actor

Barkhad Abdi, “Captain Phillips”

Bradley Cooper, “American Hustle”

Michael Fassbender, “12 Years a Slave”

Jonah Hill, “The Wolf of Wall Street”

Jared Leto, “Dallas Buyers Club”

Supporting actress

Sally Hawkins, “Blue Jasmine”

Jennifer Lawrence, “American Hustle”

Lupita Nyong’o, “12 Years a Slave”

Julia Roberts, “August: Osage County”

June Squibb, “Nebraska”

Animated feature film

“The Croods”

“Despicable Me 2”

“Ernest & Celestine”

“Frozen”

“The Wind Rises”

Cinematography

“The Grandmaster,” Philippe Le Sourd

“Gravity,” Emmanuel Lubezki

“Inside Llewyn Davis,” Bruno Delbonnel

“Nebraska,” Phedon Papamichael

“Prisoners,” Roger A. Deakins

Costume design

“American Hustle,” Michael Wilkinson

“The Grandmaster,” William Chang Suk Ping

“The Great Gatsby,” Catherine Martin

“The Invisible Woman,” Michael O’Connor

“12 Years a Slave,” Patricia Norris

Documentary feature

“The Act of Killing”

“Cutie and the Boxer”

“Dirty Wars”

“The Square”

“20 Feet from Stardom”

Documentary short subject

“CaveDigger”

“Facing Fear”

“Karama Has No Walls”

“The Lady in Number 6: Music Saved My Life”

“Prison Terminal: The Last Days of Private Jack Hall”

Film editing

“American Hustle,” Jay Cassidy, Crispin Struthers and Alan Baumgarten

“Captain Phillips,” Christopher Rouse

“Dallas Buyers Club,” John Mac McMurphy and Martin Pensa

“Gravity,” Alfonso Cuarón and Mark Sanger

“12 Years a Slave,” Joe Walker


Foreign language film

“The Broken Circle Breakdown,” Belgium

“The Great Beauty,” Italy

“The Hunt,” Denmark

“The Missing Picture,” Cambodia

“Omar,” Palestine

Makeup and hairstyling

“Dallas Buyers Club,” Adruitha Lee and Robin Mathews

“Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa,” Stephen Prouty

“The Lone Ranger,” Joel Harlow and Gloria Pasqua-Casny

Original score

“The Book Thief,” John Williams

“Gravity,” Steven Price

“Her,” William Butler and Owen Pallett

“Philomena,” Alexandre Desplat

“Saving Mr. Banks,” Thomas Newman

Original song

“Alone Yet Not Alone” from “Alone Yet Not Alone”

“Happy” from “Despicable Me 2”

“Let It Go” from “Frozen”

“The Moon Song” from “Her”

“Ordinary Love” from “Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom”

Production design

“American Hustle,” Production Design: Judy Becker; Set Decoration: Heather Loeffler

“Gravity,” Production Design: Andy Nicholson; Set Decoration: Rosie Goodwin and Joanne Woollard

“The Great Gatsby,” Production Design: Catherine Martin; Set Decoration: Beverley Dunn

“Her,” Production Design: K.K. Barrett; Set Decoration: Gene Serdena

“12 Years a Slave,” Production Design: Adam Stockhausen; Set Decoration: Alice Baker


Animated short film

“Feral”

“Get a Horse!”

“Mr. Hublot”

“Possessions”

“Room on the Broom”

Live action short film

“Aquel No Era Yo (That Wasn’t Me)”

“Avant Que De Tout Perdre (Just before Losing Everything)”

“Helium”

“Pitääkö Mun Kaikki Hoitaa? (Do I Have to Take Care of Everything?)”

“The Voorman Problem”

Sound editing

“All Is Lost,” Steve Boeddeker and Richard Hymns

“Captain Phillips,” Oliver Tarney

“Gravity,” Glenn Freemantle

“The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug,” Brent Burge

“Lone Survivor,” Wylie Stateman

Sound mixing

“Captain Phillips,” Chris Burdon, Mark Taylor, Mike Prestwood Smith and Chris Munro

“Gravity,” Skip Lievsay, Niv Adiri, Christopher Benstead and Chris Munro

“The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug,” Christopher Boyes, Michael Hedges, Michael Semanick and Tony Johnson

“Inside Llewyn Davis,” Skip Lievsay, Greg Orloff and Peter F. Kurland

“Lone Survivor,” Andy Koyama, Beau Borders and David Brownlow

Visual effects

“Gravity,” Tim Webber, Chris Lawrence, Dave Shirk and Neil Corbould

“The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug,” Joe Letteri, Eric Saindon, David Clayton and Eric Reynolds

“Iron Man 3,” Christopher Townsend, Guy Williams, Erik Nash and Dan Sudick

“The Lone Ranger,” Tim Alexander, Gary Brozenich, Edson Williams and John Frazier

“Star Trek Into Darkness,” Roger Guyett, Patrick Tubach, Ben Grossmann and Burt Dalton

Adapted screenplay

“Before Midnight,” written by Richard Linklater, Julie Delpy, Ethan Hawke

“Captain Phillips,” screenplay by Billy Ray

“Philomena,” screenplay by Steve Coogan and Jeff Pope

“12 Years a Slave,” screenplay by John Ridley

“The Wolf of Wall Street,” screenplay by Terence Winter

Original screenplay

“American Hustle,” written by Eric Warren Singer and David O. Russell

“Blue Jasmine,” written by Woody Allen

“Dallas Buyers Club,” written by Craig Borten & Melisa Wallack

“Her,” written by Spike Jonze

“Nebraska,” written by Bob Nelson
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Old 01-26-2014, 08:06 PM   #10 (permalink)
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Best Picture

American Hustle
Captain Phillips
Dallas Buyers Club
Gravity
Her
Nebraska
Philomena
12 Years a Slave
The Wolf of Wall Street

Snubs – Inside Llewyn Davis gets the shaft over films that featured great acting. Dallas Buyers Club and Captain Phillips should have been swapped here for Davis or Fruitvale Station.

Who’s gunna win? – Her was one half of my best of 2013 but I can tell either Wolf of Wall Street or 12 Years a Slave will be getting this one. Gravity also has a shot.

Best Actor

Christian Bale for American Hustle
Bruce Dern for Nebraska
Leonardo DiCaprio for Wolf of Wall Street
Chiwetel Ejiofor for 12 Years a Slave
Matthew McConaughey for Dallas Buyers Club

Snubs – I can’t really blame anybody on this one. There were so many amazing performances that could have made it into this category. Notable ommission are Joaquin Phoenix for Her, Oscar Isaac for Inside Llewyn Davis, Michael B. Anthony for Fruitvale Station, Mads Mikkelsen for The Hunt, Robert Redford for All is Lost, Hugh Jackman for Prisoners, and Tom Hanks for Captain Phillips. I still haven’t seen American Hustle but I couldn’t see any of these nominations being swapped for anybody else. Just wouldn’t be fair.

Who’s gunna win? – I know Bruce Dern isn’t going to win. I think that this is the year Leo gets his Oscar although Ejiofor and McConaughey deserve it as well. This one will be interesting and will be talked about for a long time.

Best Actress

Amy Adams for American Hustle
Cate Blanchett for Blue Jasmine
Sandra Bullock for Gravity
Judi Dench for Philomena
Meryl Streep for August: Osage County

Snubs – Enough with the praise for Meryl Streep. She has been nominated enough. It’s honestly not fair anymore. This was a very weak year for female performances but I would have liked to see a young actress like Greta Gerwig in Frances Ha or Allison Brie for Short Term 12 get the spot. Oh well.

Who’s gunna win? – Cate Blachett. Hands down. She was incredible. I’d be shocked if she didn’t win. Really, as long as Streep doesn’t win I’d be happy.

Best Supporting Actor

Barkhad Abdi for Captain Phillips
Bradley Cooper for American Hustle
Jonah Hill for Wolf of Wall Street
Michael Fassbender for 12 Years a Slave
Jared Leto for Dallas Buyers Club

Snubs – Bradley Cooper? Again, still haven’t seen the film but apparently Daniel Bruhl was incredible in Rush. Jonah Hill is now a two time oscar nominated actor. That’s insane. Paul Dano gets snubbed again for his work in Prisoners and Matthew Goode was incredible in Stoker. I’m glad to see Abdi get a nomination though as he was pretty incredible.

Who’s gunna win? – I hope Fassbender wins. Although I’d totally be okay with Leto or Abdi taking home the statue. Fassbender has it coming though.

Best Supporting Actress

Sally Hawkins for Blue Jasmine
Julia Roberts for August: Osage County
Lupita Nyong’o for 12 Years a Slave
Jennifer Lawrence for American Hustle
June Squibb for Nebraska

Snubs – Scarlett Johansson was amazing in Her and really thought this would be the first year a voice only nominee would be included. Besides that I think they got it right with including Hawkins and Squibb.

Who’s gunna win? – Lupita Nyong’o deserves this. She put everything into her role and while Hawkins and Squibb were equally great it was Nyong’o who deserves this award.

Best Director

Alfonso Cuarón for Gravity
Steve McQueen for 12 Years a Slave
David O. Russel for American Hustle
Martin Scorsese for Wolf of Wall Street
Alexander Payne for Nebraska

Snubs – Spike Jonze? COEN BROTHERS? SERIOUS? Ugggghhhhhh.

Who’s gunna win? – I couldn’t care less. Cuaron deserves it for inventing technology but James Cameron did the same and that dude lost. McQueen deserves it for his unbashingly bleak directing style. Payne deservesit for bring black and white back to the Oscars. I think they’ll give is to Cuaron.

Best Original Screenplay

American Hustle
Blue Jasmine
Her
Nebraska
Dallas Buyers Club

Snubs – Again, the lack of Coen brothers is appalling. All is Lost was also a perfectly written film.

Who’s gunna win? – If it isn’t Her, then I’m done with this show. I KNOW WHAT I SAID BEFORE!

Here’s a little more observations and musings from the whole list. It should be an interesting show!

~ The Croods and Despicable Me 2 got nominated over Pixar. This is weird.
~ Like last year with Amour, The Hunt is the only film that should be even considered for Best Foreign Language Film.
~ Gravity should take all the technical awards and deserves to take them although Her and Inside Llewyn Davis were both magnificently shot.
~ Bad Grandpa got nominated for make up. LOL
~ No music nominations for Inside Llewyn Davis. Travesty.
~ I’m surprised Man of Steel didn’t get nominated for visual effects. That was a pretty film.
~ The Act of Killing should and will murder the rest of the competition
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