2009(81st Oscars)Prediction Threads
 

Here are the nominees for the major awards...Pick who should win and who you think will win

Actor in a leading role:

Richard Jenkins-The Visitor
Frank Langella-Frost/Nixon
Sean Penn-Milk
Brad Pitt-The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Mickey Rourke-The Wrestler

I am picking Mickey Rourke but I think that Sean Penn will win.

Actor in a supporting role:

Josh Brolin-Milk
Robert Downey Jr.-Tropic Thunder
Philip Seymour Hoffman-Doubt
Heath Ledger-The Dark Knight
Michael Shannon-Revolutionary Road

I am picking Heath Ledger and I think the Academy will as well.

Actress in a leading role:

Anne Hathaway-Rachel Getting Married
Angelina Jolie-Changeling
Melissa Leo-Frozen River
Meryl Streep-Doubt
Kate Winslet-Revolutionary Road

I am picking Melissa Leo but I think Kate Winslet will win.

Actress in a supporting role:

Amy Adams-Doubt
Penelope Cruz-Vicky/Cristina Barcelona
Viola Davis-Doubt
Tarija P. Henson-The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Marisa Tomei-The Wrestler

I am picking Marisa Tomei and I think the Academy will too

Best Director:

David Fincher-The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Ron Howard-Frost/Nixon
Gus Van Zant-Milk
Danny Boyle-Slumdog Millionaire
Steven Daldry-The Reader

I am picking David Fincher but I think Danny Boyle will win.

Best Picture:

The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Frost/Nixon
Slumdog Millionaire
The Reader
Milk

I am picking Milk but I think Slumdog Millionaire will win.

Best Adapted Screenplay:

The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Doubt
The Reader
Frost/Nixon
Slumdog Millionaire

I am taking Slumdog Millionaire on both counts

Best Original Screenplay:

Frozen River
Wall-E
In Bruges
Milk
Happy-Go-Lucky

I am picking In Bruges but I think Milk will win.

So what do you think...make your picks...Oscars are Sunday.

Meaningless awards are meaningless. Are we going to have a repeat of the Grammys thread and have everyone moan that 'so-and-so' didn't win what they should have won?

I'm sorry to say that I despise the Oscars and generally don't watch the films that are nominated. heath ledger will get the oscar but if he was alive he wouldn't- plain and simple. Sycophantic tossers.

This is the worst year for the Oscars by far. The nominations are absolutely ridiculous and Hugh Jackman as the host is kind of pathetic. Since when do people care about Hugh Jackman?

Anyways, here's my predictions.

Actor in Leading Role:
I pick Mickey Rourke but I think Sean Penn will take it. Although I really think Leo Di Caprio had the best performance of the year.

Actress in Leading Role: (by the way Winslet is nominated for The Reader not Revolutionary Road)
I pick Melissa Leo but I think Winslet will win (although she was much better in Revolutionary than the Reader).

Actor in Supporting Role:
I pick Hoffman but the Academy will pick Ledger. Any other year I think Hoffman would take it hands down though (as in if Ledger was still alive).

Actress in Supporting Role:
I pick Amy Adams and I have no idea what the academy will do here. If Tarija Henson or Viola Davis wins I will lose faith in mankind.

Best Picture:
Slumdog, Academy will pick it as well.

Yes because Milk will undeservingly sweep.

I've only seen 3 of the 5 nominees but so far his performance was by far the best/most striking. :\ Who would be your pick?

I've yet to see Slumdog and Button so I'll refrain from answering for now...

I'd disagree with this one. Provided everything was the same. Summer blockbusters and super hero films are seen as walls, but their more mountains. Its really easy to **** up a role in those films, but to play them correctly is to give them just as much credit as a serious dramatic film.

The helping hand here was writing and direction. They opted to make these characters, their motives and origins real and logical. Because of this Ledger was able to convey the correct role on screen and that is in large part why I believe he'd take it either way.

The only thing I can't account for is what would have followed the film if he were alive. The overblown hype, the long fanboi interviews. With all of that gone and the role to speak for itself I think there stands a better chance of him winning.


@ adidasss: avoid Button like the plague.

None. As I have said- I don't watch big blockbusters unless they are exceptional. I do own Dark knight and Ledger is indeed excellent but it would have been highly unlikely if it would have won an oscar.

Can't say that I agree. His performance is iconic and would have been Oscar material regardless of his untimely death. Not all people who die get an Oscar nom for their posthumous roles...:\

Actor in a leading role:
Mickey rourke all the way.

Actor in a supporting role:
Heath Ledger please


Actress in a leading role:
Jolie, Winslet will get it though.


Actress in a supporting role:
Tomei, but I think Henson will get it(I haven't seen button though)

Best Director:
Danny Boyle


Best Picture:
I am picking Milk but I think Slumdog Millionaire will win.

Best Adapted Screenplay:
I am taking Slumdog Millionaire on both counts

Best Original Screenplay:
Wall-E and Milk both deserve it.

Whilst his role was good, any number of actors could have done an equally good job. It's much more easier to character play behind make-up etc than to strip away everything and display raw emotion.

How can you say Ledger didn't display raw emotion?

Um, you're talking nonsense son.

Sorry but I don't rate his performance as a top 100

Yeah but you like prog.

Your opinion of something doesn't mean it isn't there.

Ledger won universal praise for the role and was one of the better characters period.

ROFL, I like a lot of things and prog certainly isn't one I've shouted about.

So you'll admit you're embarassed then?

Embarassed over what?

I agree 100%, and I am confident that Ledger wouldn't win the award if he was still alive. I still think it deserves the nomination though.

That's true that there are many actors that could have done just as well as Ledger. Did anyone see Michael Shannon in Revolutionary Road? That was really similar to Ledger's performance.

Big3, you're even worse than me and Indie when it comes to the prog thing. :laughing:

My predictions for who will win.

Best Picture: Slumdog, but knowing the Oscars I think theres a good chance of a Benjamin Button upset.

Best actor: Penn

Best actress: Winslet

Best supportng actor: Ledger

Best supporting actress: Cruz

Best director: Danny Boyle

Best adapted screenplay: Slumdog or Button

Best original screenplay: Milk

Best animated film: Wall-E

Best foreign film: The Class

Best documentary: Man on Wire

Best song: Peter Gabriel

Art direction: Benjamin Button

Cinematography: Button

Costume: Button

Makeup: Button

Music: Button

Visual effects: Button

Hell, I could even be wrong about Penn and Boyle. This could be a clean f*cking sweep for Button. I don't care how many people hated the movie, it's the perfect formula for giving every member of the academy a hard on.

C'mon, you're being way too mean.

In no way is the Oscars on the same level as the Grammys. The Oscars at least, actually does recognise talent. I can't really say theres a lot of best picture winners I didn't think was "great", Driving Miss Daisy, English Patient, Titanic and Crash are some exceptions, good films, but nothing outstanding. And Out of Africa and Shakesphere in Love, which were just depressingly mediocre.

I like most oscar nominated films. But Out of Africa, Shakesphere in Love, The Piano, Moulin Rouge, Chocolat and The Hours are among the worst Oscar nominated films I've seen. Those are the only best picture nominated films I wouldn't call good. Well I personally didn't like Erin Brockovich either, I thought Julia Roberts was excessively bitchy.

*BUZZ SOUND* WRONG!

And saying Ledger is only getting credit for TDK because he's dead and was wearing makeup is absolutely ridiculous.

A lot of great actors died with a really horrible movie as their swan song and no one just pretends it's great out of respect for the dead.

No one really seems to watch the Oscars anymore... I think it's crazy what they are planning to do to get more viewers...

No More Oscars Red Carpet?!

I think this will backfire horribly!!

I don't care for the Oscars all that much, personally.

I thought Robert Downey Jr. did good also.

Slumdog Millionaire will win best picture.

Benjamin Button deserves it.

i have yet to see most of these so I couldn't really comment, I was sorely disappointed with Milk and Slumdog unfortunately, hopefully the other noms are better (though the central performances in both those films were good, especially Penn's)

Wow, no upsets whatsoever. Surprisingly no f*ck ups tonight.

called it. no suprise

Wow, boo, sure you are not a member of the Academy? You were on target with most winners.

The Oscars were SO much better than the Grammys. The Grammy's were just wrong...

Last time i checked i wasn't. But since you brought it up I better check again. Grammys suck, they have no crediblity anymore.

I'd say the only major upset was Departures winning as best foreign language film, but the Oscars have been undermining that category for years now so maybe that's not so surprising. I was hoping, since they made an honest effort to pick the best films this year, that they'll go the extra mile and award the actual, most relevant foreign language film of last year, but alas...:\

You're right, I forgot about that one--that was an upset. I thought the Israeli film would win hands down. Is that what you thought?

Frank Langella should've won a consolation Oscar made of chocolate for his Nixon, that was brilliant

@Johne: Yes definitely, if only because it was, if not the best, hands down the most powerful film of last year. I thought The Class was better myself, and I really liked Revanche too so any one of those 3 I would have been happy with. I'll be fair and say I haven't seen Departures so I can't attest to its quality, but as I said, if their previous decisions are anything to go by, I'll try not to expect much.

The Oscars are not perfect, but let's not kid ourselves, compared to the Emmys and the Grammys, they do have SOME credibility, last night proves that sometimes they DO get it right.

We all watch the Oscars, nobody watches the Grammys anymore.

True enough...

Slumdog fuckin cleaned up.

I knew that Slumdog would be the big winner... but honestly besides the cinematography... I didn't think the film deserved all those awards...

I was happy that Heath Legder won for Best Supporting Actor!

Oscar Winner Reactions!

I doubt Alan Arkin even had to look at the letter to know Ledger would nab it.

Yay for Benjamin Button not winning any of the big awards!

The way this one guy described the whole Button plot, I swear it's like a play by play remake of Forrest Gump.

Anyway guys. Because I knew it was coming, I watched O'Reily and Hannity and boy was I glad I did. They had lots to say about the Oscars and Penn's acceptence speech.

First off, O'Reilly jumped on Penn like crazy, that he only won it for political reasons, that Lengelia lost as "punishment" for humanizing Nixon, etc.

Hannity was a real gas though. He really seems to think Penn is the worst person in the world, just for being a liberal activist who thinks that Iraq wasn't the most brilliant idea in the world. He called him a bad actor, a moron, a hypocrite, anti-american, terrorist lover and did I mention a bad actor?

This guy is like friends with Chuck Norris and Stephen Baldwin, just so you don't forget.

Then he went on a rant about how the Oscars glorify sex and violence and I guess the sheer lack of appreciation for talking dog movies. There was also this guy Bo Dietl, big stupid fat Italian f*ck who pretty much called Woody Allen the corrupter of todays youth.

Also them guys on Fox&Friends are ranting because that piece of f*cksh*t Miracle at St. Anna wasn't nominated. Or was it some horribly made war movie I never heard of? Probably that, because Miracle at St. Anna had darky in it.

I am disappointed however in the lack of racist rants about Slumdog winning best picture.