Ninetales |
02-08-2015 11:23 PM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by John Wilkes Booth
(Post 1549195)
i guarantee if you tried to get a random group of unskilled hockey players to play against an expert team 100 times in a row you wouldn't be looking at the same kind of ratio you would look at if you flipped a coin 100 times.
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oh ok well ya this is absolutely true. I was talking about pro leagues.
Quote:
Originally Posted by DwnWthVwls
Also, statistics can be skewed however you want if you do it right.
What is this luck though? Other than a ball bouncing in some random direction I can't think of a situation where luck is a factor. I don't watch sports so if someone could clue me in that'd be cool.
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erm what do you mean stats can be skewed however you want?
the thing is, using hockey as my standard example since I know it the best, a puck going in some random direction is basically the entire game. so tons of these small, seemingly insignificant bounces happen and then eventually result in one goal. wins/losses are actually a very poor measure for predicting future performance in hockey, and goals scored/allowed aren't very good either.
oh and I should also mention that hockey relies heavily on goaltenders, a position in which variance is extremely high. which also makes predicting outcomes even more difficult.
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