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08-03-2015, 12:47 PM | #11 (permalink) | |
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but i notice a trend in warfare where as our weapons technology becomes increasingly efficient and destructive, more and more restraint is being shown in using them. that's not to say that war is going away, at least not any time soon. but if you look at humanity's history, when wars were fought we had a tendency to wage total war on entire populations, slaughtering as many as we could and in many cases trying our best to wipe out the enemy entirely. it seemed like this sort of climaxed in the early 20th century, with europe and parts of asia and africa being completely decimated by all out warfare using increasingly deadly technology. the 2nd world war ultimately ended with germany being sacked and then eventually the united states nuking japan twice, the first and only time nukes have ever been used by any nation. the following half a century was dominated by 2 major global powers (usa vs ussr) that had every incentive, reason and inclination to go to war. however, they ultimately didn't. they engaged in proxy wars and **** like that. but they never had an all out war. and i honestly think nukes are the main reason why. similarly, i don't think the iranian regime has the genuine intention of using nukes to wipe israel off the map. i think they use that sort of rhetoric in their domestic politics, because like it or not, israel is severely hated by most muslims worldwide, and there is also quite a bit of antisemitism within the islamic community. so it's popular to attack them. but ultimately, what is in iran's best interest as a geopolitical force is to get nukes as a bargaining chip. it's just a simple fact that nukes give you increased geopolitical leverage. and yet typically, so far, they never seem to actually get used. |
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08-03-2015, 02:43 PM | #12 (permalink) | |||
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As for Iran, well I don't know: you'd wonder if they'd be so stupid as to nuke a country so close to them, but I wouldn't place any smart money on them not doing it if they could, or at least threatening to do so.
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08-03-2015, 02:58 PM | #13 (permalink) |
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you have to look at actions as much as words. iranian politicians use inflammatory rhetoric to control a population that they keep under totalitarian rule, very much like the nazis, soviets, maoists, etc did before them. ultimately though, iran has demonstrated that they are a largely rational actor on the geopolitical plane. they act with the same strategic interests as every other geopolitical entity vying for power, and though this might seem counter intuitive, there is actually a bit of stability to be gained from that relentless mutual competition.
in other words.. the only real inclination that would lead any iranian in power to want to spark an actual nuclear war with isreal is religiously/culturally based, not based on geopolitical constraints such as territory, resources, etc. they resist the religious impulse for holy war based on their real world geopolitical interests. otherwise, if iran were solely determined to develop a nuke and nuke israel, they would have already done so. there is nothing really stopping them. they have the technological capability, the economic ability, etc. they really don't even need the west to lift the sanctions... the sanctions would never stop them from getting a nuke if getting a nuke was their only concern. yet they entered into a deal with the west to let UN inspectors in return for lifting the sanctions. why? because yea having a nuke is a nice piece of geopolitical leverage, but in this case their geopolitical opponents are making it so that a getting a nuke is less important than repairing their economy through lifting the sanctions. |
08-03-2015, 05:43 PM | #16 (permalink) |
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Do it. You can't spout drivel like that and not back it up. YOU may not be hardwired for war, or think you're not, but how can YOU see into the heart of every human being? Either give a rational reply or don't bother. And this response is even worse. Prove your point, or at least try to.
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08-03-2015, 05:57 PM | #18 (permalink) |
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Nah, read my OP. I asked if humanity as an organism is hardwired to the idea of conflict, ie we need it to survive. I'm not saying that we're programmed to fight each other; that would be ridiculous. There'd be fights breaking out all over. I'm saying we can never have, nor achieve, true peace because it is in our DNA that we have to compete, fight, best one another and wars are part of our natural makeup.
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08-03-2015, 06:22 PM | #19 (permalink) |
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It's education, conditioning, culture, judgmements, ideas, our own ego, that lead to conflict. And all that stuff can be likened to software running on a computer (which in this case is the human brain). We're hardwired (built) to be alive, to feel and sense, to be aware.
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08-03-2015, 06:35 PM | #20 (permalink) | |
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