I always thought The Mars Volta were more of a modern King Crimson than anyone else. If anything, I'd compare Tool to Pink Floyd. Musically, they're pretty different, but I mean...think about it. Tool are a rather "progressive" band that're still incredibly popular, they started out a little more "raw" and expanded upon that sound, their songs are sometimes actually quite simple when broken down, they're known for incredible light shows, etcetera.
But yeah, I agree, music in general does seem to go in cycles. At least in the past forty years or so.
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