Quote:
Originally Posted by Marie Monday
Ah I see what you mean! That's not how probability works though
For instance, I can't have ten toes without having nine, but still I'm more likely to have ten toes
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And ten starts with a 1!
Just kidding.
Benford’s Law doesn’t apply when the likelihood of the final total is heavily skewed. It wouldn’t apply to average height in feet either.
As far as “that’s not how probability works though” that may be where we hit a brick wall because I only understand probabilities well enough to do high school level word problems. My gut response is it doesn’t matter how probability works because that’s how numbers work and the proof is in the pudding.
Since my explanation doesn’t satisfy you or as far as I know pretty much anybody who knows anything about math, riddle me this: If I’m wrong, why the **** does Benford’s Law pan out?