Quote:
Originally Posted by jwb
Think people are saying that because of how weak Biden seems. It's literally not even clear if he'll run for a second term if he wins. He is just a place holder candidate in every sense of the word.
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I think Biden himself has said as much - I could be wrong, but didn't he basically commit to being a one-term president?
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheBig3
Fivethirtyeight is giving Biden big odds in November.
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I still remember watching the New York Times Probability Meter on Election night in 2016. Hillary had, I think, a 95% chance of winning at the beginning before the results started to pour in. Hour after after, that lead slowly dissipated, until - by the time I grew tired enough to go to bed, around 2am EST - Hillary had around a 1-2% chance of winning.
Do you trust the polls this time?