Music Banter - View Single Post - A woman has two kids, one of them is a girl

Bane of your existence · 03-02-2013, 03:49 PM

I'm going to say that at first, it's 50% that it's a girl. But you've already said one is a girl. Now, intuitively I want to say that it's obviously not 100% that the other kid is a boy, obviously. But I don't think you halve the remaining 50% for the next child either, so I went with 33%.
I wish I could justify my answer better. But all I have is that it seems like it's in between 50 and 25 for me.

03-02-2013, 03:49 PM	#13 (permalink)
Bane of your existence Such That Join Date: May 2007 Location: Austin, Tx Posts: 1,197	I'm going to say that at first, it's 50% that it's a girl. But you've already said one is a girl. Now, intuitively I want to say that it's obviously not 100% that the other kid is a boy, obviously. But I don't think you halve the remaining 50% for the next child either, so I went with 33%. I wish I could justify my answer better. But all I have is that it seems like it's in between 50 and 25 for me.